Tuesday, May 25, 2010

U.S. Stocks Set to Plunge at Open

U.S. stock markets are indicated over 2% lower this morning on concerns that North Korea is flexing its muscles in the east and fears that Europe is not getting its financial house in order. While North Korea is likely just playing games again, the 3-month LIBOR has been spiking higher in the last couple weeks, and is presently trading at 13 month highs. The S&P 500 looks to be breaking through more important levels on the downside this morning, which suggests there is more downside to come.

So, is this a correction in a new bull market dating to last year, or the resumption of a secular Bear Market that began in 2000? I believe it is the latter, which does not bode well for the economy.

Scott Cole
bestdaytradingstocks.com

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Stocks to Open Sharply Lower

Stocks are set to open sharply lower this morning...more confusion out of Europe initiated the selling and now a weekly jobless claims number that rose 25,000 to 471,000 claims.

Scott Cole
Best Daytrading Stocks

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Shorts Still in Charge

Short sellers are still in charge of this stock market, but we may be due for a modest bounce here, before we test that freak low from two weeks ago. If you have to trade, be very careful with your long trades at this point. When the market is in a downtrend, it is best to take profits at the close in long positions.

Scott Cole
www.bestdaytradingstocks.com

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Dollar Falls, Stocks Up, Again

Our favorite trade showed up again today as a weak Dollar led to solid gains in the U.S. Stock market. As usual, Gold was up sharply as well. All of the major averages posted nice gains today. However, most of the gains occurred in the first 30 minutes of trading, and the market was essentially range bound there after. Nonetheless, there were plenty of opportunities for day traders today. There were plenty of gap openings, plus, with Gold up, there were obvious opportunities in the gold stocks.

One interesting divergence in the marke though... Apple was down today. After opening up with the market, it closed much lower, and formed an outside trading day, a somewhat bearish configuration. It appears now that AMZN has clearly taken over the leadership of the Nasdaq.

Scott Cole www.bestdaytradingstocks.com

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Weekly Stock Market Review

Well, last week proved to be quite an interesting week for stocks. Normally, since it is a holiday week, there is seasonal favorability. The market got off to a good start on Monday, but failed to build on its gains over the next two sessions. Then, while we were enjoying the Thanksgiving holiday, turmoil erupted in the Middle East, as news out of Dubai suggested there may still be some hangover from the global real estate problems. Global stock markets were down sharply on Thursday, and opened lower on Friday. In the U.S., our markets needed to play a little catch up, and we opened down significantly, trading over 200 points to the down side on the Dow. But, it was a holiday shortened session with light volume, and the markets closed a bit off the lows.

We have a big week ahead. Early in the week we will see if there is any further fallout to the Dubai situation. Retailers will report how the official start to the holiday shopping season went. Then on Friday, there will be a new unemployment report, ahead of which President Obama is convening a jobs summit in an act of desperation to help out Democrats heading into the 2010 election cycle.

As usual, pay close attention to the Dollar. The strong correlation between Dollar weakness and stock market strength is still in place.

Scott Cole www.bestdaytradingstocks.com

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Dollar Plunges, Stocks Barely Move

U.S. stocks ended the day barely to the upside, even as the Dollar was routed in Forex trading. The Dollar closed at 14 year lows against the Yen. The so called Yen carry trade has been fueling the rise in stocks since March, but they barely moved today. Commodities, on the other hand, enjoyed big gains...particularly in energies and precious metals. Gold was up $25 on the day at last check, trading at $1,191 in the cash market.

Sooner or later, stocks will start to not like such a weak dollar. It is also noted that there is tremendous correlation among most markets. As the dollar falls, stocks, bonds and gold have risen. Just imagine what will happen if there is any sort of spike in the Dollar caused by a potential geopolitical crisis, or if the Fed suddenly sees that it is time to start raising rates.

In my view, this is just another asset bubble. Even when stocks rise off of bear market lows, they never move as high, and as quickly as this market has.

Happy Thanksgiving!

Scott Cole www.bestdaytradingstocks.com

Monday, November 23, 2009

Dollar Falls, Stocks Rally, As Usual

U.S. Stocks opened strongly to the upside this morning, and held up all day, as the Dollar declined in Forex trading. Someone keeps on forgetting to turn off this broken record!

Another "as usual" though; volume was light. In fact, considering the size of the price move, volume was downright abysmal. Less money is going into these up days, and that can't be good. Volume will continue to lighten up the rest of this holiday week, and that can lead to increased volatility. As usual, pay attention to the Dollar.

The day proved to not be easy for daytraders, except very short term scalpers. Most of the big moves in individual stocks occurred in the first 30 minutes. After that, many stocks that traded nicely to the upside in the first half hour simply flattened out the rest of the day.

Scott Cole www.bestdaytradingstocks.com